Hi all. Happy Monday!
We have a winter storm incoming for both of our rush-hours tomorrow. I expect the snow to start between 6:30-8:30 AM from west to east. It will then transition over to a mix of sleet/freezing rain, ending as rain from I-287, south and east.
I am afraid this storm will be much more damaging than the past this winter in terms of ice. The low level cold air will hang on longer, increasing our sleet/freezing rain chances. As with storms in the past this year, as you head further north and west from the city, the longer you will hold onto sleet/snow. Let’s hope we get more rain towards the end of the storm, washing away all of this mess.
Please stay off the roads tomorrow north of I-78 if you can! It will be a terrible day to be on the road with slipping and sliding.
For Manhattan and urban NJ, I like a coating-3 inches of snow, followed by sleet and freezing rain. As you head into the suburbs of NJ (western Essex county, Bergen county (away from the coastline), etc. I like 2-4 inches of snow, followed by more prolonged sleet/freezing rain. North and west of I-287 I like 3-6 inches of snow, followed by heavy sleet/freezing rain accumulations.
The below map is a good one to follow.
Precipitation types by timeframe:
Shows the quick burst of snow around 7/8 AM in the blue in North Jersey below
The pink color shows where the ice will be falling before the changeover to rain in the metro below
Things that can wrong: the cold air fights on long enough, increasing our snowfall totals and ice accumulations.
Thanks all and be safe!